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Trump’s weakened grip on Washington may increase risk abroad, experts say

A roundtable with Craig Copetas and Hélène Conway Mouret argues that domestic political instability could embolden the president to make bold moves in foreign policy.

By Justin Brooks ·

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A recent roundtable discussion suggested that Donald Trump’s presidency is currently tormented and unstable. Craig Copetas, a Greek American author, joined French Senator Hélène Conway Mouret to analyze the shift in power dynamics following the United States midterm elections.

Copetas challenged the common belief that Democratic gains would restore stability to Washington. He argued that the president now has limited control over domestic politics but holds considerable leeway in overseas affairs. According to Copetas, this domestic weakness may increase the risks associated with presidential decision making abroad rather than reducing them.

The speakers identified a specific geopolitical risk in Trump’s pursuit of historical significance. Copetas cited concerns from foreign policy advisers in Washington regarding the potential use of Taiwan as a bargaining chip in negotiations with Chinese President Xi Jinping. He described this scenario as a Faustian bargain, illustrating anxiety that longstanding security commitments might be vulnerable to personalized diplomatic approaches.

The conversation extended to the intersection of political power and corporate influence. Copetas predicted that the complex relationship between Elon Musk and the US government would face increased scrutiny. He identified potential opportunities for European competitors in sectors such as satellite communications, artificial intelligence, and aerospace, suggesting that shifting political dynamics could open new markets for the continent.

Senator Conway Mouret emphasized the strategic and economic weight of Europe during the discussion. She warned that the continent must avoid becoming a playground for three major countries. Her comments stressed the need for Europe to assert its independent influence in global affairs while maintaining a strong stance amidst changing geopolitical conditions.

The analysis linked international instability to domestic economic grievances. Copetas pointed to industrial decline in Pennsylvania, rising costs of living, and the consequences of tariffs. He argued that the immediate concerns of the electorate remain far removed from the strategic calculations often prioritized by Washington’s foreign policy establishment.

Copetas concluded with a cautionary note that the situation is not over by a long shot. He advised observers to watch their backs, challenging the assumption that electoral setbacks for the president would necessarily lead to greater geopolitical restraint.

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